JASON MILLER
SHW PARTNERS
INFOSYS
COGNIZANT
TCS
WIPRO
TECH MAHINDRA
HCL
NASSCOM
$1.8M LOBBY
576K OUTSOURCED
$34M FRAUD
844,054 USCIS Records  ·  50 Charts  ·  10 Tabs
U.S. INDIA
The Great Offshoring
H-1B Visa Abuse Analysis  ·  2000–2025
4.78MH-1B Approvals
576KOutsourced
$34MInfosys Fine
408KFake Lotteries
India's U.S. Lobbyist: Jason Miller — $1.8M/yr (SHW Partners, 2025)
ENTER

U.S. → India: The Great Offshoring (2000–2025)

Interactive analysis of H-1B visa usage, outsourcing trends, and labor market impact — from official USCIS, DOL, and BLS data.

▲ Anchored to Year 2000: peak U.S. labor force participation (67.3%)

67.3% → 62.4%
U.S. Labor Participation
2000 vs 2025
−4.5M
U.S. Manufacturing
Jobs Lost Since 2000
4,776,184
Total H-1B Approvals
National (FY09–26)
1,800+
Global Capability
Centers in India
1.9M
India GCC
Workforce (2025)
$300B
India IT Industry
Revenue FY2026

The 2000 Turning Point: Labor Force Participation & Manufacturing

Both peaked around 2000 and never recovered. The participation rate fell 5 points — millions left the workforce. Source: BLS, FRED.

The Great Crossover: U.S. Manufacturing Jobs vs. India IT Revenue

As U.S. manufacturing shed millions of jobs, India's IT industry grew from $6B to $300B. Sources: BLS/FRED, NASSCOM.

India IT-BPO Revenue Growth

USD billions. Source: NASSCOM.

Global Capability Centers in India

GCC count and employees. Source: NASSCOM, Zinnov.

Where U.S. Companies Outsource

India holds 55% of the global outsourcing market.

U.S. Companies: India Headcount (2025)

Estimated employees in India. ■ Orange = Indian-HQ IT firms  |  ■ Blue = U.S.-HQ companies. Sources: NASSCOM, company annual reports, press estimates.

Evolution of Offshored Work: 2000 vs. 2025

Early 2000s = call centers. Today = engineering, finance, legal, AI.

Why 2000 matters: The U.S. civilian labor force participation rate hit 67.3% in April 2000 — the highest in history. By 2026 it stood at 62.0%. That 5.3-point drop represents ~13 million fewer working-age Americans in the labor force. The timing correlates directly with the acceleration of outsourcing to India and H-1B usage by Indian IT firms.
719,696
Indian IT Firms Alone
(Top 100, USCIS)
39.7%
Indian IT Share
of Top 100 Employers
80%
Peak India Share
of H-1B (FY2016)
207,652
Cognizant Alone
(4 Entity Names)

H-1B Approvals: Total vs. India-Born

India's share grew from ~40% (2001) to ~75% by 2020, peaking at ~80% in 2016. Source: USCIS, DHS.

Top 20 H-1B Employers: Cumulative Approvals (USCIS)

Orange = Indian-HQ IT firms. Source: USCIS H-1B Employer Data Hub.

Indian IT Share of Top 100

39.7% of all cumulative approvals among top 100.

Indian IT Firms Breakdown: Cumulative H-1B Approvals by Parent Company

Cognizant leads with 207,652 cumulative approvals (FY2009–2026). These 10 Indian-HQ IT firms alone account for 719,696 approvals — 39.7% of the top 100 employers. Many operate multiple U.S. entities. Source: USCIS H-1B Employer Data Hub.

FY2026 Snapshot — National Top 100 Petitioners

Single-year receipts (not cumulative). 25,328 approvals across the top 100 national H-1B employers. Amazon now leads at 2,008 — 3.8× larger than any Indian IT outsourcer in a single year, reflecting the post-2020 shift from pure outsourcer dominance toward U.S. big-tech in-housing.

2,008
Amazon.com (#1)
FY2026 Receipts
5,028
Indian IT Firms
(19.9% of Top 100)
9,254
U.S. Big Tech
(36.5% of Top 100)
2,784
Finance Sector
(11.0% of Top 100)

National Top 20 H-1B Petitioners — FY2026

Color-coded by category: ■ U.S. Big Tech■ Indian IT Outsourcer■ Finance■ Consulting/Big 4■ Other. Fidelity (MA-HQ) at #17 nationally. Source: USCIS H-1B Employer Data Hub FY2026.

Top 100 by Category Block (FY26)

U.S. Big Tech alone: 36.5%. Combined with Indian IT outsourcers (19.9%), tech-sector H-1B demand = 56.4% of top 100 petitioners.

Indian IT Outsourcers — FY26 Single-Year

TCS (1,518) + Infosys (1,139) + Cognizant (980) = 3,637 approvals from 3 firms. The full 8-firm Indian IT block: 5,028. Source: USCIS.

Sources: USCIS H-1B Employer Data Hub • Top 100 H-1B petitioners FY2026 • 25,328 total receipts • category assignment based on firm HQ country and primary business line — Capgemini (France) and Accenture (Ireland) classified as Consulting despite heavy India-based staffing, which would otherwise add ~900 to the "Indian IT" block.
4,776,184
Total Approvals
National (FY09–26)
326,945
Total Denials
(6.4% rate)
844,054
Individual Filings
Analyzed
50+
States & Territories
Covered

H-1B Approvals by State: Top 15

Texas leads (755K), NJ second (651K). CA excluded (incomplete download). Source: USCIS H-1B Employer Data Hub, 844,054 filings FY2009–2026.

National H-1B Approvals & Denials by Fiscal Year

Denials spiked to 61K under Trump-era scrutiny (FY2019), then collapsed to 7K by FY2024. Source: USCIS H-1B Employer Data Hub.

Source: USCIS H-1B Employer Data Hub • 844,054 individual employer filings across all 50 states + territories • FY2009–2026 • CA data partially incomplete.
245,552
Total Approvals
MA (FY09–26)
13,288
Total Denials
16,544
Unique Employers
Filing in MA
46.9%
Professional/Scientific
Services Share
89,305
Boston Alone
(36% of MA)

MA Approvals & Denials by Fiscal Year

Peaked at 19,932 (FY2019). Denials spiked during "Buy American, Hire American." Source: USCIS.

MA Approvals by Industry

Professional services dominates at 115K. Source: USCIS.

Top 15 MA Cities by H-1B Approvals

Boston alone accounts for 89,305 approvals (36.4% of MA total). Cambridge second at 27,399. Source: USCIS H-1B Employer Data Hub.

Top 20 MA Employers (FY2009–2026)

■ Orange = IT outsourcing/staffing firms (place workers at client sites)  |  ■ Blue = Direct employers (hire for their own workforce). Source: USCIS H-1B Employer Data Hub.

Outsourcing Share Over Time

Peaked at 28.5% (FY2019), declined to ~10% after scrutiny.

Approval Types Over Time

"Change of Employer" tripled from FY09 to FY22.

Professional & Scientific Services Trend (Consulting, Tech, R&D)

NAICS Code 54 — includes software consulting, management consulting, R&D, accounting, and architecture firms. This is MA’s dominant H-1B industry at 46.9% of all approvals. Peaked at 10,159 (FY2019). Source: USCIS.

FY2026 Q1 Deep Dive — 2,799 MA Labor Condition Applications

Fresh data from the DOL Foreign Labor Certification database (Q1 FY2026, Oct–Dec 2025) paired with USCIS H-1B Employer Data Hub FY2026 receipts. 2,799 MA LCAs filed across 1,100 unique employers — 86% certified, 0.6% denied, median offered wage $127,300.

2,799
MA LCA Filings
FY2026 Q1
$127,300
Median Offered
Wage (MA)
1,100
Unique MA Employers
FY26 Q1
407
Biotech & Pharma
LCAs (14.5%)
404
Fidelity Tech FY26
Approvals (#1 MA)

MA FY2026 Top Employers — USCIS Receipts

■ Orange = Consulting/Outsourcing  |  ■ Blue = Direct employer. Fidelity Technology Group leads with 404 FY2026 approvals — 3.8× the #2 filer (Randstad Digital, 106). Source: USCIS H-1B Employer Data Hub FY2026.

MA Prevailing Wage Levels (FY26 Q1)

Level II (Qualified) dominates at 33%, but Level III+IV combine for 38%—skewing senior vs. national average. Source: DOL LCA FY2026 Q1.

Median Offered Wage by PW Level (MA)

Level I entry: $78.7K. Level IV expert: $178.1K. The gap between offered and prevailing wages widens at higher levels. Source: DOL LCA FY2026 Q1.

Top 15 MA Occupations (SOC) — FY26 Q1

Software Developers alone: 594 filings (21% of all MA LCAs). Combined tech occupations: ~60%. Biotech/medical science roles (Medical Scientists, Biochemists, Molecular Biologists) total ~10%. Source: DOL LCA FY2026 Q1.

MA Metro Volume × Median Wage (FY26 Q1)

Bars = LCA count, line = median offered wage. Boston dominates volume (925, $130K median); Natick skews high because of MathWorks concentration ($154.6K). Worcester ($74K) is an outlier — academia-heavy and lower wage. Source: DOL LCA FY2026 Q1.

MA Industry Mix (FY26 Q1)

Prof/Sci/Tech (NAICS 54) still ~36%. Healthcare and Education together: 23%. Source: DOL LCA FY2026 Q1.

Software Dev Wage-Level Mix (MA)

Among 594 MA software-dev LCAs: only 7% entry-level (I); 52% at Levels III–IV. Higher skew than nationally. Source: DOL LCA FY26 Q1.

Biotech & Pharma MA Hubs (FY26 Q1)

407 biotech/pharma LCAs — Cambridge (138) and Boston (116) together host 62% of state's biotech H-1B demand. Median offered wage: $130K. Waltham, Lexington, and Acton round out the top 5. Source: DOL LCA FY26 Q1, NAICS 3254 (Pharma Mfg) + 5417 (R&D Sciences).

MA Academia H-1B Footprint (FY26 Q1)

253 LCAs across Massachusetts universities — 9% of state total. Harvard leads with 85 filings, MIT second at 50, UMass Chan Medical third at 33. Academia roles cluster at Level I–II due to postdoc/research appointments. Source: DOL LCA FY26 Q1.

Sources: DOL Office of Foreign Labor Certification • LCA Disclosure Data FY2026 Q1 (Oct 1 – Dec 31, 2025) • 2,799 Massachusetts worksite records • wages standardized to annual equivalents (hourly × 2080) • USCIS H-1B Employer Data Hub FY2026 • MA-resident employers ranked by initial & continuation receipts.

The Missing Piece: Actual Job Titles & Wages

USCIS shows who petitions. The DOL's LCA data reveals what jobs and what wages. 7,629 MA applications analyzed (FY2020 & FY2024). Source: DOL Foreign Labor Certification LCA Disclosure Data.

18.9%
Entry-Level (I)
Wage Positions
141
Human Services
H-1B Applications
$32,932
Avg Wage: Direct Care
Professionals
180
Jobs Under
$50K/Year
7,629
MA LCA Records
Analyzed
$29,000
Lowest H-1B Salary
Preschool Teacher

Prevailing Wage Level Distribution

Level I = entry (lowest 17th percentile). Nearly 1 in 5 MA H-1B positions are entry-level — paying 36% below median. Source: DOL LCA Disclosure Data.

Human Services Job Titles & Average Wages: Massachusetts

Direct Care Professionals average $32,932/year. Youth Development Pros at $37,226. All well below MA median ($45K). These are H-1B “specialty occupations.” Source: DOL LCA.

The 20 Lowest-Paid H-1B Jobs: Massachusetts

Real DOL filings: preschool teachers at $29K, direct care workers at $30K, youth workers at $35K. All Wage Level I. The H-1B visa requires a “specialty occupation” — a bachelor’s degree minimum. Source: DOL LCA Disclosure Data FY2020 & FY2024.

Top Human Services Employers Using H-1B: Massachusetts

Devereux Foundation: 31 LCA applications for “Direct Care Professional” at $30–38K/year. Gandara Mental Health: 21 apps. Wayside Youth: 13 apps. These organizations serve vulnerable children, disabled adults, and people with mental health needs. Source: DOL LCA Disclosure Data.

Source: U.S. Department of Labor • Foreign Labor Certification LCA Disclosure Data • FY2020 Q1 & FY2024 Q1 • 7,629 Massachusetts applications analyzed • Wage data converted to annual equivalents where filed hourly.

Questionable H-1B Usage

IT outsourcing firms, hotel chains, pizza shops, and human services orgs — using a visa meant for “specialty occupations.”

576,625
Outsourcing Firm
Approvals (National)
$34M
Infosys Fraud
Fine (ICE)
408,891
Duplicate Lottery
Registrations (FY24)
36,266
MA IT Outsourcing
Approvals
6.6%
Outsourcing Denial Rate
(vs 5.1% Direct)
The Question: H-1B legally requires a “specialty occupation” — a bachelor’s degree in a specific field. Yet direct care workers ($30K), preschool teachers ($29K), pizza managers, and hotel staff all received approvals. Infosys: $34M fraud fine. Cognizant: discrimination verdict (2024). 408K duplicate lottery entries in FY24. India hired Jason Miller as U.S. lobbyist at $1.8M/yr.

National: Questionable Usage Breakdown

576,625 to IT outsourcing (12.1%), 6,894 to low-skill, 6,574 to human services. Log scale — all 3 categories visible. Source: USCIS, 844K filings.

MA: Where Do Approvals Go?

14.8% IT outsourcing, 9.2% healthcare/social, 3.0% low-skill, 73% direct employers.

National: Top Human Services & Low-Skill Employers

Devereux Foundation (1,229), Choice Hotels (431), Cincinnati Children’s (393), Domino’s (296).

MA: IT Outsourcing Firms

Firms placing H-1B workers at client sites. Virtusa: 7,506 approvals. Randstad entities combined: 9,497.

Case Study: Dunkin’ Brands

74 corporate approvals. 57% were “Change of Employer” — poached, not sponsored. Only 6 new hires. A donut chain.

Household Brands Using H-1B

Starbucks (1,485, 34% poached), McDonald’s (323, 48% poached), Marriott (771), Domino’s (443).

The Pipeline: How H-1B Workers Get Recycled

Indian IT outsourcing firms bring workers into the U.S., then American companies poach them via “Change of Employer” filings. The worker never leaves. No new visa slot is consumed. A captive secondary labor market operates inside the visa system.

797,541
“Change of Employer”
Approvals Nationally
16.7%
Of All H-1B Approvals
Are Worker Transfers
25.9%
Peak CE Share
(FY2022)
50,729
MA “Change of Employer”
(20.7% of MA Total)
34.5%
Actually “New Employment”
Bringing People In
The Paradigm: Only 34.5% of H-1B approvals are “New Employment” — actually sponsoring someone from abroad. Another 16.7% (797,541) are “Change of Employer” — companies recruiting from a pre-built pool of workers already here on H-1B, who will accept any terms because losing their job means deportation. Add in Continuations (26.9%) and Amendments (15.0%), and 65.5% of the entire H-1B system is recycling existing workers — not bringing in new talent.

National: Where Do H-1B Approvals Actually Go?

Only 1 in 3 H-1B approvals brings a new worker to the U.S. The rest recycle, extend, or transfer existing workers. Source: USCIS (844K filings).

The Recycling Machine: New vs. Transferred

New Employment (someone comes from abroad) vs. Change of Employer (poached from existing H-1B pool). Source: USCIS.

The Trend: “Change of Employer” Share Over Time

CE share nearly doubled from 13.7% (FY2009) to 25.9% (FY2022). The pipeline is growing. Source: USCIS H-1B Employer Data Hub.

Top “Recyclers”: Companies That Recruit From the H-1B Pool

Ranked by % of approvals that are “Change of Employer.” These companies rarely sponsor new workers — they poach from the captive pool. Minimum 1,000 total approvals. Source: USCIS.

Massachusetts: Top Companies Drawing From the Pipeline

Fidelity: 3,761 CE approvals (39.7%). Randstad entities combined: 4,409 CE (47.0%). These firms built their MA workforce from the existing H-1B pool. Source: USCIS.

The Law: 36 Years of H-1B Legislation & Its Impact on American Workers

From creation in 1990 to the $100K fee in 2025 — every major piece of legislation, who it helped, and what it cost the American workforce. Sources: Congress.gov, USCIS, DOL, EPI, NBER.

1990
H-1B Created
Immigration Act
65K → 195K → 65K
Visa Cap
Rollercoaster
−36%
Wage Discount
Level I vs Median
$100,000
New Filing Fee
(2025, 20–50x Increase)
71%
India’s Share
of H-1B (FY2024)
The 36-Year Story: Congress created H-1B in 1990 for “specialty occupations.” By 2000, Indian IT firms discovered how to turn it into a labor pipeline. The cap was tripled, portability made workers transferable, and a body-shopping industry was born. Today, 60% of H-1B positions pay below-median wages, and research shows it depressed American CS wages by up to 5.1% and employment by up to 10.8%.

H-1B Visa Cap: The Legislative Rollercoaster (1990–2026)

Congress tripled the cap during the dot-com boom, then slashed it back. The base cap hasn’t changed in 22 years — but exemptions expanded. Source: Congress.gov, USCIS.

The Fee Explosion: Cost Per H-1B Petition Over Time

From $0 in 1990 to $100,000 in 2025. The most dramatic change in program history — a 20–50x increase overnight. Source: USCIS, Federal Register.

Wage Suppression: H-1B vs. Market Rates

DOL sets 4 prevailing wage levels by percentile: Level I = 17th percentile, Level II = 34th, Level III = 50th (median), Level IV = 67th. 60% of H-1B positions are Level I or II — below the median wage. Level I pays 36% less than the local median for the same occupation. Math: if median software dev salary = $120K, Level I = $76,800 (17th pct). Source: DOL OES, EPI “H-1B Visas and Prevailing Wage Levels” (2020).

India’s Growing Dominance of H-1B

From ~40% (2001) to 71% (2024). Indian IT outsourcing firms engineered the program. Source: USCIS, DHS.

The Research: What H-1B Did to American Workers

NBER Working Paper #23153 (Bound et al., 2017): Modeling a counterfactual U.S. without H-1B, American CS wages would be 2.6–5.1% higher and CS employment 6.1–10.8% higher. In dollar terms: if avg CS salary = $110K, that’s $2,860–$5,610 less per worker per year. Across ~4.4M U.S. CS workers = $12.6B–$24.7B in annual wage suppression. EPI (2020): H-1B holders earn 5–10% less than comparable Americans in the same occupation and region. Deloitte (2023): 83% of H-1B-dependent firms report using the visa primarily for cost savings.

Legislative Timeline: Every Major H-1B Law

1990 — Creation (Bush Sr.)
Immigration Act of 1990 creates H-1B visa for “specialty occupations” requiring a bachelor’s degree. Cap set at 65,000/year. Filing fee: $0. Intent: attract world-class talent in medicine, science, engineering. No wage protections. No worker displacement rules.
1998 — First Expansion (Clinton)
ACWIA raises cap to 115,000. Adds first worker protections: LCA requirement, displacement rules (can’t fire Americans 90 days before/after H-1B hire), prevailing wage at 95%. First filing fee: $500. Indian IT firms (Infosys, TCS, Wipro) begin Y2K-driven mass hiring.
2000 — The Floodgates Open (Clinton)
AC21 (American Competitiveness in the 21st Century) — the law that changed everything. Cap tripled to 195,000. Section 105: Job portability — H-1B workers can now transfer between employers instantly. This single provision created the “Change of Employer” pipeline. Cap-exempt categories created (universities, nonprofits). Body shopping model goes from Y2K tactic to permanent business model.
2004 — Partial Rollback (Bush Jr.)
H-1B Visa Reform Act cuts cap back to 65,000. Creates 20,000 master’s degree exemption (total: 85K). Prevailing wage raised from 95% to 100%. Filing fees tripled. Anti-fraud fee added. But the body-shopping infrastructure was already built — outsourcing firms simply became more sophisticated.
2006 — The Exposure
Senators Durbin & Grassley release H-1B employer data. Finding: over 50% of top 30 H-1B employers are outsourcing/staffing firms — not product companies directly hiring specialists. The body-shopping model is now public. Congress does nothing.
2017 — Buy American, Hire American (Trump)
Executive Order directs agencies to prioritize highest-skilled, highest-paid H-1B applicants. USCIS increases site visits, RFEs (Requests for Evidence). Denial rates spike from 4% to 24%. Indian IT firms begin hiring more Americans domestically to reduce visa dependency.
2021–2024 — Biden Reversal
Trump restrictions largely reversed. Proposed H-1B expansions (failed in Congress). 2024: Modified lottery to prevent fraud/collusion by outsourcing firms gaming duplicate registrations. 2025 (outgoing): Weighted lottery rule — higher wages get more entries. Effective FY2027.
2025 — The $100K Shock (Trump II)
September 2025 Executive Order: $100,000 per new H-1B petition (was $2K–5K). A 20–50x increase. Expanded screening and vetting. Suspended visa interviews. December 2025: Weighted selection rule finalized — Level IV wages get 4 entries, Level I gets 1. Most dramatic changes in 36-year program history.

The AI Era: Why H-1B Demand Is Collapsing

AI and automation are eliminating the exact job categories that drove H-1B growth. The outsourcing model is dying. The numbers prove it. Sources: Goldman Sachs, McKinsey, NASSCOM, a16z, GitHub, Business Standard.

57%
Of U.S. Work Hours
Automatable Now (McKinsey)
64,759
TCS+Infosys+Wipro
Headcount Cut FY2024
55.8%
Faster Task Completion
With AI Coding Tools
4M → <1M
India BPO Jobs
Projected by 2030
70–80%
BPO Valuation
Multiple Collapse
300M
Global Jobs Replaceable
by AI (Goldman Sachs)
79,331
Indians on OPT
“Shadow Visas” (2024)
42.5%
Recent Grad
Underemployment (Q4’25)
The Argument: The H-1B visa was created in 1990 to fill a talent gap — not enough Americans with specialized skills. AI has inverted this equation. GitHub Copilot makes one developer do the work of two. AI agents automate testing, code review, data analysis, and customer service — the exact tasks that Indian IT outsourcing firms bill billions for. The top 3 Indian IT firms (TCS, Infosys, Wipro) cut 64,759 jobs in a single year while increasing profits. India’s $50B BPO sector is projected to lose 75% of its workforce by 2030. The outsourcing pipeline that fed H-1B demand is being replaced by AI. Meanwhile, 79,331 Indian nationals are on OPT “shadow visas” (48% of all STEM OPT) — a parallel pipeline that bypasses H-1B caps entirely. Recent college grad underemployment hit 42.5% (Q4 2025) and CS unemployment is 6.1%. The workers AI replaces are the same workers H-1B imports.

The AI Productivity Revolution: Developers Need Fewer Teammates

AI coding tools are making individual developers dramatically more productive — reducing the need for large teams that drove H-1B staffing. 63% of professional developers now use AI tools. 15 million GitHub Copilot users. Tasks completed 55.8% faster. Source: GitHub (2025), Index.dev.

Indian IT Giants: Cutting While Profiting

TCS, Infosys, Wipro — the same firms that account for 39.7% of top 100 H-1B employers — cut 64,759 employees in FY2024. Revenue and profits INCREASED. AI lets them do more with fewer people. Source: Business Standard, company filings.

BPO Employment Collapse: 4M → <1M

India’s $50B BPO sector employed 4 million people. AI is projected to cut that to under 1 million by 2030 — a 75% reduction. One Bangladesh BPO firm reported AI eliminated 80%+ of jobs on automatable projects. Source: Outsource Accelerator, a16z.

What AI Replaces: The Exact H-1B Job Categories

The tasks that drove H-1B demand — software testing, code review, data entry, customer service, business analysis — are the first to be automated. Code review: hours → minutes. Testing: fully automatable. Data analysis: AI agents outperform entry-level analysts. Source: McKinsey, DigitalOcean, a16z.

The Outsourcing Business Model Is Dying

What is BPO? Business Process Outsourcing — when U.S. companies hire overseas firms (TCS, Infosys, Wipro) to handle IT, customer service, and back-office work. These firms bill “per worker” (the FTE model), which is exactly what drives H-1B demand. AI replaces workers with software agents — no visa needed. BPO company valuations have collapsed 70–80%. The per-worker billing model is falling from 42% to 28% of contracts as companies switch to AI-powered “pay per result” pricing. Source: a16z, CallMiner, Anyreach.

The Math: H-1B Supply vs. AI Displacement

If AI eliminates even 30% of outsourcing-driven H-1B demand (conservative vs. McKinsey’s 57%), that’s ~170,000 fewer visa slots needed annually. At current volumes (~400K approvals/year), the program could shrink by 40%+ and still serve genuine specialty needs. Meanwhile, the $100K filing fee (2025) is already pricing out the body-shopping model. Source: Analysis based on USCIS data + McKinsey/Goldman Sachs automation projections.

Sources: Goldman Sachs “The Potentially Large Effects of AI on Economic Growth” (2023) • McKinsey Global Institute AI Automation Analysis (2025) • GitHub Copilot Statistics (2025) • Business Standard: TCS/Infosys/Wipro FY24 Headcount Data • a16z “Unbundling the BPO” (2025) • Outsource Accelerator “AI Indian BPO Jobs 2030” • Anyreach: BPO Valuation Multiples Analysis • CallMiner: BPO Business Model Reshaping • Index.dev: Developer Productivity Statistics (2026) • GitClear: AI Code Quality Research (2025).

Sources & Methodology

Every number in this dashboard is sourced from official U.S. government databases or peer-reviewed research. No estimates except where noted.

Primary Government Sources

USCIS H-1B Employer Data Hub — 844,054 individual employer filing records across all 50 states + territories, FY2009–2026. Columns: employer name, city, state, NAICS code, approval/denial counts by category (New Employment, Continuation, Change of Employer, Amended, etc.). CA data partially incomplete due to download limitations. Data downloaded March 2026.

DOL Foreign Labor Certification LCA Disclosure Data — 7,629 Massachusetts Labor Condition Applications analyzed (FY2020 Q1 & FY2024 Q1). Contains actual job titles, SOC codes, wage rates, wage units, prevailing wage levels (I–IV), employer names, and worksites. Wages standardized to annual equivalents where filed hourly ($×2080).

USCIS H-1B Characteristics Congressional Reports — Annual reports to Congress, FY2003–2024. Used for India-born share percentages and total approval counts by country of birth.

Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) — Labor force participation rates, manufacturing employment data, 2000–2025. Via FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data).

Congress.gov — Full text of Immigration Act of 1990, ACWIA (1998), AC21 (2000), H-1B Visa Reform Act (2004). Executive orders via Federal Register.

ICE (Immigration & Customs Enforcement) — Infosys record $34 million settlement for systemic visa fraud. Press release, 2013.

DOL Project Firewall — 175+ active H-1B investigations launched September 2025.

Cognizant Federal Jury Verdict (2024) — Found liable for intentional discrimination against non-Indian/non-South Asian employees. Duane Morris case analysis.

TCS Wage Theft Settlement — $30 million settlement for 13,000 foreign workers. EPI documentation.

GAO-11-26 (2011) — “H-1B Visa Program: Reforms Are Needed to Minimize Risks and Costs.”

DHS OIG Report (2017) — USCIS Needs Better Approach to Verify H-1B Participants.

Jason Miller / SHW Partners LLC — Indian government $1.8M/year lobbying contract (May 2025). Sources: Business Standard, Odwyer PR, Business Today.

Research Sources

NBER Working Paper #23153 — “The Effect of Immigration on Wages” — CS wage suppression estimates (2.6–5.1%) and employment reduction (6.1–10.8%).

Economic Policy Institute (EPI) — Prevailing wage level analysis showing 60% of H-1B positions below median, Level I at 36% discount.

Pew Research Center — H-1B demographic analysis, March 2025.

Heritage Foundation — Structural H-1B failure analysis.

Industry Sources

NASSCOM — India IT/BPO revenue data ($6B–$300B trajectory), GCC counts and employee figures.

Zinnov / Deloitte — GCC growth estimates, India headcount by company.

Company SEC filings — Used for India employee counts where publicly reported.

Methodology Notes

Entity Consolidation: USCIS data contains multiple name variations per company (e.g., “Cognizant Tech Solns US Corp” vs “Cognizant Tech Solutions US Corp” vs “Cognizant Technology Solutions US”). Major entities consolidated for top employer charts. Raw data preserved in per-filing charts.

Outsourcing Firm Identification: Companies classified as “outsourcing/staffing” based on known industry lists: Infosys, Cognizant, TCS, Wipro, HCL, Tech Mahindra, Capgemini, Randstad, Kforce, Compunnel, Virtusa, Sapient, etc. Classification is conservative — actual outsourcing share is likely higher.

India Revenue Interpolation: Where exact year-by-year NASSCOM figures were unavailable, values were linearly interpolated between known data points. Marked with ~.

H-1B Country Share: USCIS Congressional reports provide India % for initial approvals. Continuation/amendment percentages estimated from prior year distributions.